This paper describes a pilot study in which Saaty's Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is used to try and gain some insight into what form of society will prevail in South Africa in the foreseeable future. The problem is structured in a hierarchy in which the actors, or power-groups, are at the top and the alternative future scenarios are at the bottom. Panellists are used to establish the relative influences of the different actors as well as the preferences which each of the actors have for the different scenarios, by means of two-way matrices of paired comparisons. The results of the exercise are discussed, as is the use of this approach in a more serious attempt to forecast South Africa's future political, social and economic system.
Disclaimer: This journal is hosted by the Stellenbosch University Library and Information Service on request of the journal owner/editor. The Stellenbosch University Library and Information Service takes no responsibility for the content published within this journal, and disclaim all liability arising out of the use of or inability to use the information contained herein. We assume no responsibility, and shall not be liable for any breaches of agreement with other publishers/hosts.